Polynyx
Open app
AnalyticsSmart money trackerTrader leaderboardWallet checkerInsights & model picksCopy tradingLive markets & oddsEsports oddsSports oddsPolitics oddsCrypto oddsEconomics oddsPop culture oddsPortfolio trackerPlatform stats
Top tradersBest Esports tradersBest Politics tradersBest Sports tradersBest Crypto traders
$POLY$POLY CheckerAirdrop eligibility FAQ
PolynyxBlogPolymarket legendsPremiumDeveloper APIMCP serverPolymarket widgetsPolydune dashboardsSign in

Polynyx · Independent Polymarket analytics, smart money tracking & $POLY airdrop checker · Not affiliated with Polymarket.

PolynyxPolitics
Live odds · updated November 2026

Polymarket Politics — Live Odds & Prediction Markets

Live odds and prediction markets across US politics on Polymarket — Trump, elections, Congress and geopolitics, sorted by what's hottest right now.

Polymarket runs live prediction markets across 4 political markets right now — Elections, Geopolitics, US Politics — each priced in real-time implied odds. Updated November 2026.

Open the live politics gridTop politics traders
Hottest politics market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff27%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro5%

Elections

presidential race · Senate & House control · primaries & nominees

All Elections odds
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff27%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro

Geopolitics

conflict & ceasefire · sanctions & diplomacy · leadership changes

All Geopolitics odds
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Yes98%
No2%

US Politics

approval ratings · cabinet & appointments · legislation

All US Politics odds
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No67%
Yes33%

Trump

2028 nomination · approval rating · indictment & legal

All Trump odds
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No68%
Yes33%

Trending elections & news markets

Trending now

  • Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 37% · $2.22M 24h
  • Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Jon Ossoff 27% · $2.06M 24h
  • Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 19% · $1.77M 24h
  • Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 77% · $839K 24h
  • Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45% · $770K 24h
  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?November 15 83% · $547K 24h

Betting on politics with Polymarket prediction markets

Polymarket is a prediction market, not a sportsbook: instead of fixed sportsbook lines, every politics outcome trades as a share whose price is the crowd's live implied probability. A favorite at 70¢ is the market's 70% pick; back the other side and you're buying the underdog cheap. When the result lands, winning shares pay $1.

Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: these pages pull the same live Polymarket odds and 24h volume as the interactive politics grid, show which wallets are trading each market, and rank the sharpest politics traders on the leaderboard. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.

Polymarket politics — frequently asked

What political markets can I bet on with Polymarket?
Polymarket runs prediction markets across Trump, US Politics, Elections, Geopolitics and more. Polynyx lists every live market with real-time implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first, and links each to its full market page.
How do politics prediction markets work on Polymarket?
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 0¢ and 100¢ — the price is the market's implied probability. Winning shares settle at $1 and losing shares at $0 when the event resolves, so the odds and the payout are a single number. Prices move live as traders buy and sell.
Are Polymarket politics odds live?
Yes. Polynyx reads live Polymarket prices, so the implied odds and 24h volume on these pages update in real time — and game-line markets swing in-play as the match is being played.

Tracking live Polymarket markets across 4 political markets right now — $6.40M of combined 24h volume in the sampled set. Updated November 2026.

James Talarico
3%
Raphael Warnock3%
+12 more outcomes
$1.72M 24h$333.4M totalView market

Where the volume is

4 live political markets
Busiest: Elections$4.30M / 24h

Live 24h volume across every politics topic with open markets — each bar is one, busiest first.

5%
$1.72M 24h$333.4M total$9.00M liq
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance19%
Jon Ossoff18%
Marco Rubio9%
$828K 24h$192.4M total$6.19M liq
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen45%
David Lisnard15%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
$635K 24h$45.5M total$5.96M liq
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Ron DeSantis14%
Tucker Carlson4%
John McEntee3%
$628K 24h$211.7M total$7.04M liq
$700K 24h$1.51M total$124K liq16h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No89%
Yes11%
$251K 24h$78.3M total$489K liq
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes82%
No19%
$200K 24h$1.34M total$85.5K liq
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No52%
Yes49%
$181K 24h$1.95M total$158K liq
$205K 24h$1.88M total$137K liq
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
No81%
Yes20%
$68.6K 24h$588K total$57.6K liq
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?
No74%
Yes27%
$31.1K 24h$40.9K total$66.8K liq
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?
No98%
Yes2%
$19.9K 24h$34.0K total$80.3K liq
$71.0K 24h
$273K total
$116K liq
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Donald Trump1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Donald Trump Jr.0%
$61.2K 24h$34.1M total$1.19M liq
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No90%
Yes10%
$51.4K 24h$73.4K total$49.1K liq
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No97%
Yes3%
$45.0K 24h$632K total$108K liq
All live markets