Polymarket Elections Odds & Prediction Markets
Live odds and prediction markets on elections — presidential, Senate, House, primaries and races worldwide on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 13 live Elections markets right now (updated November 2026). As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Elections market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, where Jon Ossoff is the favorite at 27% implied odds on $1.75M of 24h volume.
Hottest market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff27%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro5%
James Talarico3%
Raphael Warnock3%
+15 more outcomes
$1.75M 24h$387.2M totalView market
24h volume by market
13 liveBusiest: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028$1.75M / 24h
Where the money is trading right now across live electionsmarkets — each bar is one market's 24h volume, hottest first.
Live markets
13
on Polymarket · November 2026
24h volume
$4.83M
across these markets
In-play now
0
no live games
Current favorite
27%
Jon Ossoff
Live Elections markets & odds
13 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Elections market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, where Jon Ossoff is the favorite at 27% implied odds on $1.75M of 24h volume.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff27%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro5%
$1.75M 24h$387.2M total$10.5M liq
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance19%
Jon Ossoff18%
Marco Rubio9%
$880K 24h$254.4M total$8.66M liq
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance37%
Marco Rubio19%
Ron DeSantis14%
$663K 24h$242.1M total$7.91M liq
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen45%
David Lisnard15%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
$635K 24h$45.5M total$5.96M liq
New Zealand legislative election winner?
National Party99%
Labour Party1%
$493K 24h$96.1K liq16h
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an69%
Puma Shen32%
$192K 24h$3.91M total$854K liq
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Christopher Luxon84%
Chris Hipkins11%
$73.6K 24h$37.7K liq16h
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
National + ACT + NZF66%
Labour + Green13%
Other3%
$42.6K 24h$44.4K liq16h
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
No54%
Yes46%
$23.7K 24h$112K total$48.2K liq
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
Labour Party99%
National Party1%
$22.4K 24h$40.8K liq16h
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Labour 0-5%93%
National 0-5%3%
$19.9K 24h$15.6K liq16h
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
40-4499%
35-391%
$19.2K 24h$34.1K liq16h
Why bet on Elections with prediction markets?
Election markets are Polymarket's flagship category. They span the US presidential race, control of the Senate and House, individual primaries and nominee boards, and major international elections — often as multi-candidate outrights where every contender is priced on one board. Odds move live with polling, debates and results.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a poll swing, a debate or breaking news re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live elections odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest elections traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Sharpest Elections traders on Polymarket
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Elections markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Elections PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fredi9999 | +$2.90M |
| 2 | PrincessCaro | +$2.31M |
| 3 | 0943 | +$1.84M |
| 4 | Theo4 | +$1.80M |
| 5 | 0xa3a4… | +$1.69M |
6 wallets have traded Polymarket Elections markets.Full Elections leaderboard
Free vs Premium for Elections bettors
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
What Premium unlocks for Elections bettors
$18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month)| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Elections odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Elections trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) | Included | Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Elections markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Elections trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |
Go Premium$18.99/mo, or $15.00/mo billed yearly (21% off) · cancel anytime
How to bet on Elections on Polymarket
- 1Open the Elections market you want on Polynyx and read the live implied odds, 24h volume and which wallets are trading it.
- 2Decide where the price looks wrong — a favorite too cheap, an underdog overpriced — using the market model and the sharpest-trader positioning above.
- 3Place the bet on Polymarket itself with a funded wallet: buy shares of the outcome you back. Your cost is the price; winning shares settle at $1.
- 4Track it in your Polynyx portfolio and watch the odds move as the event plays out.
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
More politics on Polymarket
Polymarket Elections — frequently asked
- How many Elections markets are live on Polymarket right now?
- 13 live and upcoming Polymarket Elections markets are tradable as of November 2026. The most active is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Polynyx lists each with its current implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first.
- Who is the top Polymarket Elections trader?
- Fredi9999 leads Polymarket Elections by realized P&L (+$2.90M) on a 61% win rate as of November 2026. 6 wallets have traded these markets; see the full leaderboard for ROI and the rest of the field.
- What election markets can I bet on with Polymarket?
- US presidential and congressional-control markets, individual primaries and nominee boards, and major elections abroad — many as multi-outcome boards pricing every candidate at once. Polynyx lists each with live implied odds and 24h volume.
- How do election prediction market odds work?
- Each candidate or outcome trades as a share from 0¢ to 100¢ whose price is the implied probability; a candidate at 58¢ is the market's ~58% pick. Winning shares settle at $1 when the race is called, so the price is both the odds and the payout.
- What does Polynyx Premium add for Elections bettors?
- The free tier shows live elections odds, volume and the full trader leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies the edge: who's buying each Elections market (smart-money names, ROI and win rate), live model picks and sharp-agreement signals as they fire, all-time trade history, and unlimited portfolio wallets. It's from $18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month), cancel anytime.
- Is Polynyx affiliated with Polymarket?
- No. Polynyx is an independent analytics platform that reads public Polymarket data and on-chain trades; it isn't operated by or affiliated with Polymarket. Odds shown here are live Polymarket prices.