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Polynyx · Independent Polymarket analytics, smart money tracking & $POLY airdrop checker · Not affiliated with Polymarket.

PolynyxEconomics
Live odds · updated November 2026

Polymarket Economics — Live Odds & Prediction Markets

Live odds and prediction markets across the economy on Polymarket — the Fed and rates, inflation and jobs, recession and the stock market, sorted by what's hottest right now.

Polymarket runs live prediction markets across 3 economic markets right now — Fed & Rates, Markets, Macro — each priced in real-time implied odds. Updated November 2026.

Open the live economics gridTop economics traders
Hottest economics market
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase77%
No change22%
50+ bps decrease1%

Fed & Rates

FOMC decisions · rate-path · dot plot

All Fed & Rates odds
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase77%
No change22%

Markets

S&P 500 levels · Nasdaq & indices · year-end close

All Markets odds
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.25–$1.5T31%
$1.5–$1.75T25%

Macro

CPI & inflation · jobs & unemployment · GDP & growth

All Macro odds
Gas prices on November 7?
<$4.0500100%
$4.0600-4.06991%
$4.0700-4.0799

Betting on economics with Polymarket prediction markets

Polymarket is a prediction market, not a sportsbook: instead of fixed sportsbook lines, every economics outcome trades as a share whose price is the crowd's live implied probability. A favorite at 70¢ is the market's 70% pick; back the other side and you're buying the underdog cheap. When the result lands, winning shares pay $1.

Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: these pages pull the same live Polymarket odds and 24h volume as the interactive economics grid, show which wallets are trading each market, and rank the sharpest economics traders on the leaderboard. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.

Polymarket economics — frequently asked

What economic markets can I bet on with Polymarket?
Polymarket runs prediction markets across Fed & Rates, Macro, Markets and more. Polynyx lists every live market with real-time implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first, and links each to its full market page.
How do economics prediction markets work on Polymarket?
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 0¢ and 100¢ — the price is the market's implied probability. Winning shares settle at $1 and losing shares at $0 when the event resolves, so the odds and the payout are a single number. Prices move live as traders buy and sell.
Are Polymarket economics odds live?
Yes. Polynyx reads live Polymarket prices, so the implied odds and 24h volume on these pages update in real time — and game-line markets swing in-play as the match is being played.

Tracking live Polymarket markets across 3 economic markets right now — $1.48M of combined 24h volume in the sampled set. Updated November 2026.

25 bps decrease
1%
50+ bps increase1%
$854K 24h$16.6M totalView market

Where the volume is

3 live economic markets
Busiest: Fed & Rates$966K / 24h

Live 24h volume across every economics topic with open markets — each bar is one, busiest first.

50+ bps decrease
1%
$854K 24h$16.6M total$2.74M liq
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes76%
No25%
$54.2K 24h$1.59M total$98.6K liq
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)98%
1 (25 bps)1%
2 (50 bps)0%
$25.2K 24h$16.8M total$438K liq
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)76%
1 (25 bps)23%
3 (75 bps)1%
$17.1K 24h$1.21M total$115K liq
<$1.25T
17%
$219K 24h$3.91M total$444K liq
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX88%
Anthropic11%
$100K 24h$2.94M total$137K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes87%
No13%
$72.7K 24h$1.70M total$46.3K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes78%
No23%
$57.8K 24h$712K total$36.7K liq
0%
$7.1K 24h$7.1K total$18.2K liq2h
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%91%
3.9%1%
$4.0K 24h$29.5K total$8.9K liq
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)81%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)19%
$3.3K 24h$110K total$10.5K liq
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No90%
Yes11%
$3.3K 24h$270K total$18.5K liq