Polymarket Macro Odds & Prediction Markets
Live odds and prediction markets on the macro economy — inflation, jobs, GDP and recession on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Macro markets right now (updated November 2026). As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Macro market is “Gas prices on November 7?”, where <$4.0500 is the favorite at 100% implied odds on $7.1K of 24h volume.
Hottest market
Gas prices on November 7?
<$4.0500100%
$4.0600-4.06991%
$4.0700-4.07990%
$4.0800-4.08990%
$4.0500-4.05990%
+1 more outcome
$7.1K 24h$7.1K totalView market
24h volume by market
24 liveBusiest: Gas prices on November 7?$7.1K / 24h
Where the money is trading right now across live macromarkets — each bar is one market's 24h volume, hottest first.
Live markets
24
on Polymarket · November 2026
24h volume
$39.2K
across these markets
In-play now
0
no live games
Current favorite
100%
<$4.0500
Live Macro markets & odds
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Macro market is “Gas prices on November 7?”, where <$4.0500 is the favorite at 100% implied odds on $7.1K of 24h volume.
Gas prices on November 7?
<$4.0500100%
$4.0600-4.06991%
$4.0700-4.07990%
$7.1K 24h$18.2K liq2h
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%91%
3.9%1%
$4.0K 24h$29.5K total$8.9K liq
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)81%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)19%
$3.3K 24h$110K total$10.5K liq
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No90%
Yes11%
$3.3K 24h$270K total$18.5K liq
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
<-0.3%43%
-0.3% to -0.1%40%
0.0% to 0.2%11%
$2.7K 24h$45.1K total$14.7K liq
PPI YoY - October 2026
6.8%+30%
6.4%19%
6.5%17%
$2.5K 24h$37.8K total$19.4K liq
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%43%
0.2%34%
0.4%9%
$1.6K 24h$29.4K total$21.5K liq
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%83%
25-29.9%12%
$1.3K 24h$60.5K total$5.8K liq
October Inflation UK - Annual
3.7-3.9%50%
3.4-3.6%23%
4.0-4.2%17%
$1.2K 24h$3.0K total$9.6K liq
China Annual Inflation 2026
2.5%+8%
1.1 – 1.5%7%
1.6 – 2.0%3%
$1.1K 24h$42.5K total$5.9K liq
Price of Dozen Eggs in October?
$2.20 to $2.3070%
$2.10 to $2.2014%
$1.1K 24h$15.4K total$6.6K liq
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in October?
No84%
Yes16%
$1.0K 24h$1.4K total$3.6K liq
Why bet on Macro with prediction markets?
Macro markets price upcoming data and economic outcomes: CPI and inflation prints against a threshold, monthly jobs and unemployment numbers, GDP and growth, and longer-dated recession markets. Each is a live implied probability that re-rates as releases approach and land — a continuous, money-weighted nowcast.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a jobs report, a CPI print or a Fed decision re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live macro odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest macro traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Sharpest Macro traders on Polymarket
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Macro markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Macro PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | lijialijia2020 | +$110K |
| 2 | perfectnostalgia | +$91.4K |
| 3 | Zimbov | +$74.0K |
| 4 | HNIC | +$44.9K |
| 5 | betwick | +$38.6K |
8,322 wallets have traded Polymarket Macro markets.Full Macro leaderboard
Free vs Premium for Macro bettors
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
What Premium unlocks for Macro bettors
$18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month)| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Macro odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Macro trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) | Included | Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Macro markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Macro trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |
Go Premium$18.99/mo, or $15.00/mo billed yearly (21% off) · cancel anytime
How to bet on Macro on Polymarket
- 1Open the Macro market you want on Polynyx and read the live implied odds, 24h volume and which wallets are trading it.
- 2Decide where the price looks wrong — a favorite too cheap, an underdog overpriced — using the market model and the sharpest-trader positioning above.
- 3Place the bet on Polymarket itself with a funded wallet: buy shares of the outcome you back. Your cost is the price; winning shares settle at $1.
- 4Track it in your Polynyx portfolio and watch the odds move as the event plays out.
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
More economics on Polymarket
Polymarket Macro — frequently asked
- How many Macro markets are live on Polymarket right now?
- 24 live and upcoming Polymarket Macro markets are tradable as of November 2026. The most active is “Gas prices on November 7?”. Polynyx lists each with its current implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first.
- Who is the top Polymarket Macro trader?
- lijialijia2020 leads Polymarket Macro by realized P&L (+$110K) on a 71% win rate as of November 2026. 8,322 wallets have traded these markets; see the full leaderboard for ROI and the rest of the field.
- What macro-economy markets are on Polymarket?
- Inflation and CPI threshold markets, monthly jobs and unemployment markets, GDP and growth markets, and recession-by-a-date markets — each priced on live implied odds with 24h volume on Polynyx.
- Can prediction markets forecast a recession?
- They give a live, money-weighted probability that aggregates many traders' views, which often moves faster than published forecasts — but it isn't a guarantee and can be volatile. Polynyx shows each market's volume so you can gauge its weight; nothing here is financial advice.
- What does Polynyx Premium add for Macro bettors?
- The free tier shows live macro odds, volume and the full trader leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies the edge: who's buying each Macro market (smart-money names, ROI and win rate), live model picks and sharp-agreement signals as they fire, all-time trade history, and unlimited portfolio wallets. It's from $18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month), cancel anytime.
- Is Polynyx affiliated with Polymarket?
- No. Polynyx is an independent analytics platform that reads public Polymarket data and on-chain trades; it isn't operated by or affiliated with Polymarket. Odds shown here are live Polymarket prices.