Polymarket Markets Odds & Prediction Markets
Live odds and prediction markets on the stock market — the S&P 500, Nasdaq and index milestones on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Markets markets right now (updated November 2026). As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Markets market is “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap”, where $1.25–$1.5T is the favorite at 31% implied odds on $214K of 24h volume.
Hottest market
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.25–$1.5T31%
$1.5–$1.75T25%
<$1.25T17%
$1.75–$2.0T16%
$2.0–$2.25T6%
+5 more outcomes
$214K 24h$3.91M totalView market
24h volume by market
24 liveBusiest: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$214K / 24h
Where the money is trading right now across live marketsmarkets — each bar is one market's 24h volume, hottest first.
Live markets
24
on Polymarket · November 2026
24h volume
$863K
across these markets
In-play now
0
no live games
Current favorite
31%
$1.25–$1.5T
Live Markets markets & odds
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Markets market is “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap”, where $1.25–$1.5T is the favorite at 31% implied odds on $214K of 24h volume.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.25–$1.5T31%
$1.5–$1.75T25%
<$1.25T17%
$214K 24h$3.91M total$434K liq
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX88%
Anthropic11%
$100K 24h$2.94M total$136K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes87%
No13%
$72.6K 24h$1.70M total$49.1K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes78%
No23%
$56.9K 24h$713K total$40.4K liq
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?
No99%
Yes1%
$42.8K 24h$263K total$124K liq
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 in November?
Yes66%
No34%
$37.1K 24h$37.2K total$9.1K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No100%
Yes0%
$32.1K 24h$400K total$12.9K liq
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?
No80%
Yes21%
$29.7K 24h$29.9K total$20.2K liq
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in November?
No55%
Yes45%
$22.0K 24h$22.3K total$9.9K liq
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes85%
No15%
$21.9K 24h$391K total$40.4K liq
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?
No67%
Yes34%
$21.8K 24h$22.0K total$17.9K liq
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+31%
0.6–0.9T2%
$21.8K 24h$407K total$27.1K liq
Why bet on Markets with prediction markets?
The Markets category prices equity-index outcomes: whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq or Dow close above or below a level by a date, year-end targets, new all-time highs, and drawdown or correction markets. Each is a live implied probability that moves with the tape and the macro calendar.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a jobs report, a CPI print or a Fed decision re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live markets odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest markets traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Sharpest Markets traders on Polymarket
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Markets markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
Free vs Premium for Markets bettors
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
What Premium unlocks for Markets bettors
$18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month)| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Markets odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Markets trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) | Included | Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Markets markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Markets trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |
Go Premium$18.99/mo, or $15.00/mo billed yearly (21% off) · cancel anytime
How to bet on Markets on Polymarket
- 1Open the Markets market you want on Polynyx and read the live implied odds, 24h volume and which wallets are trading it.
- 2Decide where the price looks wrong — a favorite too cheap, an underdog overpriced — using the market model and the sharpest-trader positioning above.
- 3Place the bet on Polymarket itself with a funded wallet: buy shares of the outcome you back. Your cost is the price; winning shares settle at $1.
- 4Track it in your Polynyx portfolio and watch the odds move as the event plays out.
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
More economics on Polymarket
Polymarket Markets — frequently asked
- How many Markets markets are live on Polymarket right now?
- 24 live and upcoming Polymarket Markets markets are tradable as of November 2026. The most active is “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap”. Polynyx lists each with its current implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first.
- Who is the top Polymarket Markets trader?
- boyau leads Polymarket Markets by realized P&L (+$668K) on a 46% win rate as of November 2026. 50,275 wallets have traded these markets; see the full leaderboard for ROI and the rest of the field.
- What stock-market markets are on Polymarket?
- Index-level threshold markets for the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow, year-end close targets, all-time-high markets, and correction or drawdown markets — each with live implied odds and 24h volume on Polynyx.
- How do stock-market prediction markets work?
- Each outcome is a share priced at its implied probability that settles at $1 if it happens; an "S&P above X by [date]" market at 40¢ is a ~40% market chance. Prices move live with equities — the market's consensus, not investment advice.
- What does Polynyx Premium add for Markets bettors?
- The free tier shows live markets odds, volume and the full trader leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies the edge: who's buying each Markets market (smart-money names, ROI and win rate), live model picks and sharp-agreement signals as they fire, all-time trade history, and unlimited portfolio wallets. It's from $18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month), cancel anytime.
- Is Polynyx affiliated with Polymarket?
- No. Polynyx is an independent analytics platform that reads public Polymarket data and on-chain trades; it isn't operated by or affiliated with Polymarket. Odds shown here are live Polymarket prices.