Polymarket Bitcoin Odds & Prediction Markets
Live odds and prediction markets on Bitcoin — price milestones, monthly closes and the halving cycle on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Bitcoin markets right now (updated November 2026). As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Bitcoin market is “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?”, where No is the favorite at 68% implied odds on $68.3K of 24h volume.
Hottest market
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?
No68%
Yes32%
$68.3K 24h$107K totalView market
24h volume by market
24 liveBusiest: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?$68.3K / 24h
Where the money is trading right now across live bitcoinmarkets — each bar is one market's 24h volume, hottest first.
Live markets
24
on Polymarket · November 2026
24h volume
$723K
across these markets
In-play now
0
no live games
Current favorite
68%
No
Live Bitcoin markets & odds
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Bitcoin market is “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?”, where No is the favorite at 68% implied odds on $68.3K of 24h volume.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?
No68%
Yes32%
$68.3K 24h$29.6K liq4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?
No84%
Yes16%
$63.0K 24h$25.7K liq40h
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?
No97%
Yes3%
$59.6K 24h$33.2K liq40h
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No97%
Yes3%
$50.1K 24h$9.27M total$223K liq
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?
Down67%
Up33%
$49.7K 24h$29.7K liq4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7?
Yes100%
No0%
$47.8K 24h$33.9K liq4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?
No99%
Yes1%
$44.1K 24h$44.8K liq40h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
No83%
Yes18%
$35.3K 24h$1.64M total$86.0K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes51%
No50%
$27.6K 24h$1.67M total$77.1K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?
No99%
Yes1%
$25.4K 24h$44.9K liq40h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No90%
Yes11%
$23.8K 24h$7.46M total$145K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 2-8?
No100%
Yes0%
$22.1K 24h$56.7K liq40h
Why bet on Bitcoin with prediction markets?
Bitcoin is the most heavily traded crypto category on Polymarket. Markets price whether BTC closes above or below specific levels by a date — the next milestone, a monthly or year-end close, a new all-time high — plus halving-cycle and range markets. Each is a live implied probability that tracks spot price in real time.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a sharp price move, an ETF headline or an on-chain event re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live bitcoin odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest bitcoin traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Sharpest Bitcoin traders on Polymarket
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Bitcoin markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Bitcoin PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xf705… | +$1.14M |
| 2 | justdance | +$1.13M |
| 3 | lufei123i | +$767K |
| 4 | stonksgoup | +$736K |
| 5 | 0xde17… | +$728K |
100,000 wallets have traded Polymarket Bitcoin markets.Full Bitcoin leaderboard
Free vs Premium for Bitcoin bettors
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
What Premium unlocks for Bitcoin bettors
$18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month)| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Bitcoin odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Bitcoin trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) | Included | Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Bitcoin markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Bitcoin trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |
Go Premium$18.99/mo, or $15.00/mo billed yearly (21% off) · cancel anytime
How to bet on Bitcoin on Polymarket
- 1Open the Bitcoin market you want on Polynyx and read the live implied odds, 24h volume and which wallets are trading it.
- 2Decide where the price looks wrong — a favorite too cheap, an underdog overpriced — using the market model and the sharpest-trader positioning above.
- 3Place the bet on Polymarket itself with a funded wallet: buy shares of the outcome you back. Your cost is the price; winning shares settle at $1.
- 4Track it in your Polynyx portfolio and watch the odds move as the event plays out.
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
More crypto on Polymarket
Polymarket Bitcoin — frequently asked
- How many Bitcoin markets are live on Polymarket right now?
- 24 live and upcoming Polymarket Bitcoin markets are tradable as of November 2026. The most active is “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?”. Polynyx lists each with its current implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first.
- Who is the top Polymarket Bitcoin trader?
- 0xf705… leads Polymarket Bitcoin by realized P&L (+$1.14M) on a 48% win rate as of November 2026. 100,000 wallets have traded these markets; see the full leaderboard for ROI and the rest of the field.
- What Bitcoin markets are on Polymarket?
- Mostly price-threshold markets — "Will BTC be above $X by [date]?" — alongside monthly and year-end closes, new all-time highs and range bets. Polynyx lists each with its live implied odds and 24h volume.
- What are the odds Bitcoin hits a price target?
- The live market sets them: a "$X by [date]" market prices the probability in cents, so 30¢ is a ~30% implied chance. The number updates continuously with spot price and flows — it's the market's consensus, not a price prediction from Polynyx.
- What does Polynyx Premium add for Bitcoin bettors?
- The free tier shows live bitcoin odds, volume and the full trader leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies the edge: who's buying each Bitcoin market (smart-money names, ROI and win rate), live model picks and sharp-agreement signals as they fire, all-time trade history, and unlimited portfolio wallets. It's from $18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month), cancel anytime.
- Is Polynyx affiliated with Polymarket?
- No. Polynyx is an independent analytics platform that reads public Polymarket data and on-chain trades; it isn't operated by or affiliated with Polymarket. Odds shown here are live Polymarket prices.