Polymarket Movies & TV Odds & Prediction Markets
Live odds and prediction markets on movies and TV — box office, streaming and release dates on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Movies & TV markets right now (updated November 2026). As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Movies & TV market is “Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?”, where 260-279 is the favorite at 22% implied odds on $164K of 24h volume.
Hottest market
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?
260-27922%
280-29921%
300-31918%
240-25911%
320-33910%
+9 more outcomes
$164K 24h$430K totalView market
24h volume by market
24 liveBusiest: Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?$164K / 24h
Where the money is trading right now across live movies & tvmarkets — each bar is one market's 24h volume, hottest first.
Live markets
24
on Polymarket · November 2026
24h volume
$701K
across these markets
In-play now
0
no live games
Current favorite
22%
260-279
Live Movies & TV markets & odds
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of November 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Movies & TV market is “Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?”, where 260-279 is the favorite at 22% implied odds on $164K of 24h volume.
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?
260-27922%
280-29921%
300-31918%
$164K 24h$101K liq3d
Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?
90-11480%
115-13919%
$113K 24h$5.5K liq4h
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%
Avengers: Doomsday9%
$93.2K 24h$2.22M total$128K liq
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
300-31915%
280-29915%
320-33910%
$73.2K 24h$131K total$97.8K liq
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner34%
Robert Pattinson18%
Jack Lowden18%
$59.4K 24h$1.53M total$69.5K liq
"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office
28m-31m74%
31m-34m23%
<28m10%
$55.7K 24h$42.0K liq23h
"Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office
9m+62%
6m-7m15%
8m-9m15%
$25.9K 24h$3.5K liq23h
"The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office
18m-20m55%
16m-18m34%
20m+13%
$23.1K 24h$15.9K liq23h
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day24%
$20.3K 24h$1.01M total$49.5K liq
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No99%
Yes1%
$10.9K 24h$984K total$33.8K liq
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?
No99%
Yes2%
$7.9K 24h$7.9K total$5.6K liq
"Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office
6m+98%
5m-6m1%
$7.5K 24h$6.4K liq23h
Why bet on Movies & TV with prediction markets?
Movies & TV markets on Polymarket price entertainment outcomes: opening-weekend and total box-office thresholds, Netflix and streaming chart performance, release-date and renewal questions, and casting announcements. Each is a live implied probability that moves with trailers, reviews and release-date news.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a nomination leak, a trailer drop or a casting announcement re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live movies & tv odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest movies & tv traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Sharpest Movies & TV traders on Polymarket
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Movies & TV markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Movies & TV PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annica | +$697K |
| 2 | AmerikanXpress | +$495K |
| 3 | cry.eth2 | +$456K |
| 4 | noovd | +$342K |
| 5 | failstober | +$289K |
45,560 wallets have traded Polymarket Movies & TV markets.Full Movies & TV leaderboard
Free vs Premium for Movies & TV bettors
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
What Premium unlocks for Movies & TV bettors
$18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month)| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Movies & TV odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Movies & TV trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) | Included | Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Movies & TV markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Movies & TV trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |
Go Premium$18.99/mo, or $15.00/mo billed yearly (21% off) · cancel anytime
How to bet on Movies & TV on Polymarket
- 1Open the Movies & TV market you want on Polynyx and read the live implied odds, 24h volume and which wallets are trading it.
- 2Decide where the price looks wrong — a favorite too cheap, an underdog overpriced — using the market model and the sharpest-trader positioning above.
- 3Place the bet on Polymarket itself with a funded wallet: buy shares of the outcome you back. Your cost is the price; winning shares settle at $1.
- 4Track it in your Polynyx portfolio and watch the odds move as the event plays out.
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
More pop culture on Polymarket
Polymarket Movies & TV — frequently asked
- How many Movies & TV markets are live on Polymarket right now?
- 24 live and upcoming Polymarket Movies & TV markets are tradable as of November 2026. The most active is “Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?”. Polynyx lists each with its current implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first.
- Who is the top Polymarket Movies & TV trader?
- Annica leads Polymarket Movies & TV by realized P&L (+$697K) on a 36% win rate as of November 2026. 45,560 wallets have traded these markets; see the full leaderboard for ROI and the rest of the field.
- What movies and TV markets are on Polymarket?
- Box-office threshold markets, streaming-performance markets, release-date and renewal markets, and casting-announcement markets — each listed with live implied odds and 24h volume on Polynyx.
- How do box-office prediction markets work?
- Each is a share priced at the implied probability that a film clears a revenue threshold; it settles at $1 if it does. An "opens above $X" market at 35¢ is a ~35% market chance, updating live as tracking and reviews land.
- What does Polynyx Premium add for Movies & TV bettors?
- The free tier shows live movies & tv odds, volume and the full trader leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies the edge: who's buying each Movies & TV market (smart-money names, ROI and win rate), live model picks and sharp-agreement signals as they fire, all-time trade history, and unlimited portfolio wallets. It's from $18.99/month or $179.99/year ($15.00/month), cancel anytime.
- Is Polynyx affiliated with Polymarket?
- No. Polynyx is an independent analytics platform that reads public Polymarket data and on-chain trades; it isn't operated by or affiliated with Polymarket. Odds shown here are live Polymarket prices.